- whyimalive
Predictions
15:19, 20.02.2025

As part of the playoffs of the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 tournament, we are looking forward to a match between paiN and MOUZ. Both teams have navigated a challenging journey through the group stage, and their upcoming showdown promises to be spectacular. In this article, we analyzed the current form of the participants, their map pool, and the history of head-to-head meetings to assess the chances of each side and predict who will emerge victorious.
Current Form of the Teams
paiN
The average rating for paiN in tournaments over the last month was 5.8. At the BLAST Bounty Spring 2025, paiN were eliminated in the playoffs after the first match. At IEM Katowice 2025, they failed to pass the Play-in, securing one win and suffering two losses. In the qualifiers for the BLAST Open Spring, they took 3rd-4th place and did not advance to the main stage. Nevertheless, at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, the team reached the playoffs with a result of 3-1.
Over the last month, paiN won three out of five matches, defeating Virtus.pro, Falcons, and Astralis. However, they lost to The Mongolz and Imperial, indicating instability in their form.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
---|---|---|---|
2 days ago | paiN | 2 - 0 | Virtus.pro |
3 days ago | paiN | 1 - 2 | The MongolZ |
4 days ago | paiN | 2 - 1 | Falcons |
6 days ago | paiN | 2 - 1 | Astralis |
11 days ago | paiN | 0 - 2 | Imperial |
MOUZ
MOUZ have an average rating of 6.1 over the last month. Like their opponents, the team faced challenges. At the BLAST Bounty Spring 2025: Closed Qualifier, they were eliminated after the first match. At IEM Katowice 2025, they lost two matches and exited the tournament. At PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, MOUZ reached the playoffs with a score of 3-2.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
---|---|---|---|
2 days ago | MOUZ | 2 - 1 | Virtus.pro |
3 days ago | MOUZ | 1 - 2 | Falcons |
4 days ago | MOUZ | 0 - 2 | FaZe |
5 days ago | MOUZ | 2 - 0 | 3DMAX |
6 days ago | MOUZ | 2 - 0 | BIG |
Team Map Pool
The strengths and weaknesses of the teams' maps define their strategy of selection. PaiN traditionally ban Ancient (55 times) and focus on maps where their opponents show weaknesses. Mirage, Nuke, and Dust II are their priority choices, where they have a solid win rate, especially on the first two.
MOUZ, in turn, most frequently exclude Anubis (35 times). For their pick, they choose maps that are beneficial in their map pool, such as Mirage, Nuke, and Inferno, with a strong win rate on the last two.
Most likely, in the upcoming match, paiN will ban Ancient, and MOUZ will ban Anubis. PaiN will probably choose Mirage, while MOUZ will settle for Inferno. The deciding map could be Dust II.
Map | paiN Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (paiN) | MOUZ Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MOUZ) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ancient | 100% | 1 | 55 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 30% | 10 | 9 | L, W, L, L, W |
Anubis | 64% | 11 | 14 | W, W, L, L, W | 0% | 0 | 35 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
Mirage | 67% | 30 | 19 | W, W, W, L, W | 48% | 21 | 0 | L, W, L, L, W |
Inferno | 44% | 16 | 22 | L, L, L, L, W | 62% | 13 | 4 | W, L, L, W, L |
Dust II | 50% | 20 | 15 | L, W, L, L, W | 55% | 11 | 13 | L, W, W, W, W |
Nuke | 67% | 24 | 9 | L, W, W, W, W | 63% | 19 | 5 | W, W, L, L, W |
Train | 0% | 1 | 7 | L | 0% | 0 | 3 |
Head-to-Head Meetings
PaiN and MOUZ have faced each other three times in the last six months. In all these matches, MOUZ emerged victorious. Two months and four months ago, they won confidently, while five months ago, the match ended with a score of 2:1 in favor of MOUZ. This statistic indicates MOUZ's dominance in head-to-head encounters.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
---|---|---|---|
2 months ago | MOUZ | 1 - 0 | paiN |
4 months ago | MOUZ | 1 - 0 | paiN |
5 months ago | MOUZ | 2 - 1 | paiN |
Match Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams, their map pool, and head-to-head meetings, MOUZ have a clear advantage. Their results in the tournament, more stable performances on key maps, and successful history against paiN suggest that they will emerge as the winners. PaiN, despite an improved form at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, might take one map, but the overall outcome in favor of MOUZ seems most likely.
Prediction: MOUZ to win 2:1
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 will take place from February 14 to 23 in Cluj-Napoca, Romania. Sixteen teams are participating in the tournament with a prize pool of $1,250,000. You can follow the schedule and results of the event here.
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