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Predictions
06:28, 04.06.2025
On June 4, 2025, at 15:00 UTC, NRG will face off against Complexity in a best-of-1 match during the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Stage 1. This clash is part of the Swiss format stage of the tournament, which is currently taking place in the United States. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details about the match, visit the match page.
NRG, currently ranked 32nd in the world according to the world rankings, has shown a mixed performance in recent times. Their overall win rate stands at 69%, with a slight dip to 69% over the past month. Despite a strong win rate of 73% over the past year, NRG has been unable to maintain a winning streak, currently sitting at zero consecutive wins. In their last five matches, NRG secured a win against TYLOO but suffered losses against Heroic, Aurora, Falcons, and Legacy. Over the last six months, NRG has earned $63,500, placing them 35th in terms of earnings among competing teams.
Complexity, on the other hand, is positioned 17th in the world rankings, indicating a stronger standing compared to NRG. Their recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with a win rate of 50% over the past month. However, they have managed to maintain a win streak of one game. Complexity’s recent matches include a victory over Fluxo and a loss to OG. Earlier in April, they had a mixed performance at the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025, where they defeated paiN but fell to GamerLegion and The MongolZ. Complexity has earned $82,500 in the past half-year, ranking 26th in earnings.
The map veto prediction suggests that NRG will first ban Dust2, while Complexity will eliminate Ancient. NRG is likely to ban Mirage next, followed by Complexity banning Anubis. The remaining bans are expected to be Train by NRG and Nuke by Complexity, leaving Inferno as the decider map. Historically, NRG has a strong win rate on Dust2 with 84% over the last six months, while Complexity has shown a preference for Train with a 77% win rate. The choice of Inferno as the decider is intriguing, given NRG’s 69% win rate compared to Complexity’s 38% on the same map.
Historical Maps Statistics (NRG / Complexity) – Last 6 Months
Map | Matches | Win rate | Ban rate |
Dust2 | 31 / 9 | 84% / 22% | 11% / 45% |
Train | 17 / 13 | 71% / 77% | 24% / 0% |
Inferno | 13 / 8 | 69% / 38% | 7% / 30% |
Anubis | 16 / 16 | 63% / 75% | 51% / 0% |
Mirage | 29 / 0 | 55% / - | 18% / 95% |
Nuke | 16 / 6 | 44% / 67% | 51% / 45% |
Ancient | 1 / 14 | 0% / 50% | 71% / 10% |
The last encounter between NRG and Complexity took place on January 13, 2024, where Complexity emerged victorious with a 1-0 win. Complexity has maintained a 100% win rate against NRG in their head-to-head history, showcasing their dominance in past meetings. The map choice and ban strategies have historically favored Complexity, who tend to perform well on maps like Train and Anubis, while NRG has struggled to counter these strategies effectively.
Considering the current form, historical data, and map pool statistics, NRG appears to have the upper hand in this matchup. Despite Complexity’s previous success against NRG, the predicted map veto scenario and NRG’s superior win rates on critical maps suggest that they are more likely to clinch this best-of-1 encounter. NRG’s recent performance, coupled with their strategic map preferences, positions them as the favorites to win this match.
Prediction: NRG to win
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 takes place from June 3 to June 6 in the United States, featuring a prize pool yet to be disclosed. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the tournament page.
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