In the group stage of the ESL Pro League Season 21, we're set for an intense showdown between NAVI and The Mongolz as they battle for a spot in the playoffs. NAVI enters the match after a rough start in the tournament but managed to regain confidence with two consecutive victories. Meanwhile, The Mongolz are showing consistent form and aim to solidify their success, proving they can defeat even top-tier teams. In this article, we'll analyze the current form of the teams, their map pool, and provide a match prediction.
Current Team Form
NAVI approaches the match after some inconsistent performances. The team's average rating over the last month is 6.2. At IEM Katowice 2025, they confidently reached the playoffs but then fell to Spirit 0-2, highlighting issues adapting to top-tier opponents. After a month of training, the team returned to competition but started with an unexpected loss to SAW. Nonetheless, NAVI managed to regroup, secured two consecutive wins, and are now ready to fight for a playoff spot.
Date
Team
Score
Opponent
Mar 10, 19:30
Natus Vincere
2 - 0
G2
Mar 09, 16:30
Natus Vincere
2 - 0
paiN
Mar 08, 11:30
Natus Vincere
2 - 1
TYLOO
Mar 07, 16:30
Natus Vincere
1 - 2
SAW
Feb 08, 20:00
Natus Vincere
0 - 2
Spirit
The Mongolz are showing strong play in major tournaments. Their average rating over the last month is 6.1. At PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, they confidently advanced through the Swiss stage with a 3-0 record, but lost to Astralis in the playoffs. In the ESL Pro League Season 21, they also look solid, finishing the group stage with a 3-1 record, confirming their competitiveness.
Date
Team
Score
Opponent
Mar 10, 14:30
The MongolZ
2 - 0
3DMAX
Mar 09, 15:10
The MongolZ
0 - 2
Spirit
Mar 08, 14:30
The MongolZ
2 - 1
G2
Mar 07, 14:00
The MongolZ
2 - 0
GamerLegion
Feb 21, 12:50
The MongolZ
0 - 2
Astralis
Map Pool
NAVI is likely to choose Dust2 or Ancient, as these maps are their strengths. They have a 62% win rate on Dust2 over 13 games and a 68% win rate on Ancient over 19 games. They avoid Train, as they haven't played it since it returned to the map pool. However, they played it against paiN and won, so the ban might change.
The Mongolz are also likely to ban Train, as they haven't played it at all. For their pick, they might prefer Mirage, where they have a 68% win rate over 19 games, or Inferno, their best map with a 75% win rate. Ancient also remains a strong point for the team (67% win rate over 21 matches).
Map
Natus Vincere Winrate
M
B
Last 5 Matches (Natus Vincere)
The MongolZ Winrate
M
B
Last 5 Matches (The MongolZ)
Train
100%
1
9
FB, FB, FB, W, W
0%
0
11
FB, FB, FB, FB, FB
Anubis
100%
3
13
W, W, W, L, W
73%
11
7
W, W, W, L, W
Inferno
53%
15
6
L, W, FB, W, L
73%
11
3
W, W, W, L, W
Nuke
54%
13
8
W, W, W, L, L
43%
7
13
FB, FB, FB, FB, FB
Ancient
70%
20
4
L, L, W, W, L
59%
10
17
W, L, L, W, W
Dust II
62%
13
4
L, L, L, W, W
70%
10
13
W, W, W, L, L
Mirage
65%
20
0
W, L, W, W, W
67%
21
1
L, W, W, L, W
Match Prediction
The match promises to be tense, as both teams are in decent form, but NAVI has more experience in the decisive stages of major tournaments. Their pick of Ancient could give them a significant advantage, but on Mirage, Mongolz can level the score. On the decider map Inferno, a tight battle is expected, but if NAVI plays with discipline, they can secure the win.
Prediction: 2-1 Victory for NAVI
The ESL Pro League Season 21 takes place from March 1 to 16 in Stockholm, Sweden. 24 teams are competing for a prize pool of $400,000. Follow the schedule, match results, and tournament progress here.
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