On May 22, 2025, at 02:00 CEST, MOUZ will face off against Falcons in the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Group B stage. This best-of-3 series promises to be a thrilling encounter as these two top-tier teams battle it out in the upper bracket. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. View the match details here.
Current form of the teams
MOUZ, currently ranked 2nd in the world, has been showcasing strong performances recently. With a win streak of two matches, MOUZ has a commendable win rate of 67% over the past month. Their recent victories in the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025, including a decisive 2-0 win against Liquid and BC.Game, highlight their current form. However, they did suffer a setback against Falcons in the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025, where they finished 3-4th, earning $40,000. Over the last six months, MOUZ has earned $665,000, placing them 3rd in earnings among their peers.
In contrast, Falcons, ranked 3rd globally, also come into this match with a two-match win streak. They have a slightly higher recent monthly win rate of 73%, indicating their peak form. Falcons’ recent triumphs include a 2-1 victory over HEROIC and a 2-0 win against NRG in the same tournament. Despite finishing 2nd in the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 and earning $75,000, Falcons have shown resilience and adaptability in their gameplay. Their earnings over the past six months amount to $543,500, ranking them 4th.
Teams’ Map Pool
The upcoming match’s map veto is expected to unfold as follows: MOUZ will likely first ban Anubis, while Falcons will remove Inferno. MOUZ is anticipated to pick Nuke, where they have a strong win rate of 72%. Falcons, on the other hand, are expected to choose Dust2, a map they have been successful on with a 68% win rate. The bans will continue with MOUZ removing Train and Falcons taking out Ancient, leaving Mirage as the decider map.
| Map | MOUZ | Falcons | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MOUZ) | Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Falcons) | |
| Train | 24% | 6 | 4 | WWLLW | 43% | 14 | 6 | LWLLW |
| Nuke | 16% | 25 | 1 | WWLWL | 56% | 18 | 4 | LWLLW |
| Dust II | 12% | 16 | 14 | WLWLW | 68% | 25 | 5 | WWLLW |
| Ancient | 10% | 15 | 4 | WWLWL | 63% | 19 | 6 | FBWWL |
| Mirage | 9% | 18 | 5 | WWWWW | 65% | 17 | 3 | WLWWL |
| Inferno | 3% | 17 | 6 | LWLLW | 38% | 16 | 14 | WLLLW |
| Anubis | 0% | 0 | 37 | FBFBL | 0% | 0 | 28 | FBFBL |
Head-to-Head
In their recent encounters, Falcons have had the upper hand, winning the last two matches against MOUZ with a 2-0 scoreline in both instances. However, MOUZ previously dominated Falcons in their earlier meetings this year, securing victories in three consecutive matches. This head-to-head dynamic suggests a competitive edge for Falcons in recent times, but MOUZ’s past successes cannot be overlooked. Explore their previous matches here.
Prediction
Considering the current form, map pool strengths, and historical head-to-head results, MOUZ is slightly favored to win this matchup with a predicted score of 2:1. MOUZ’s strong performance on Nuke and their overall higher win probability give them the edge. However, Falcons’ recent victories and form make them formidable opponents, ensuring a closely contested series. Ultimately, MOUZ’s consistency and experience should see them through to victory.
Prediction: MOUZ 2:1 Falcons
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 takes place from May 19 to May 25 in the United States, featuring a prize pool of $1,000,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the official tournament page.
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