The upcoming match between M80 and G2 is scheduled for May 12, 2025, at 17:00 CEST. This best-of-3 series is part of the PGL Astana 2025 Group Stage, a prestigious tournament held in Kazakhstan with a significant prize pool of $625,000. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details, visit the match page.
Current form of the teams
M80, currently ranked 34th in the world, has been experiencing a challenging period recently. Their overall win rate stands at 67% over the past year, but it has decreased to 58% in the last six months and plummeted to 0% in the past month. M80’s recent form shows a streak of losses, including defeats against Virtus.pro and Natus Vincere in the current PGL Astana 2025 tournament. However, they have shown potential by winning the North American Qualifier, securing their spot in this tournament. Their recent earnings amount to $21,500, placing them 59th in the earnings ranking.
In contrast, G2 is ranked 5th globally and has a slightly better overall win rate of 62%, with a recent half-year win rate of 61%. However, their performance has dipped in the last month, with a win rate of 25%. G2’s recent matches include losses to ODDIK and MIBR in the ongoing PGL Astana 2025. Despite these setbacks, G2 had a strong showing at the PGL Bucharest 2025, finishing in 2nd place and earning $93,750. Their recent half-year earnings are $245,250, ranking them 9th in terms of earnings.
Teams’ Map Pool
The map veto prediction suggests a strategic battle with M80 likely to ban Dust2 first, while G2 is expected to ban Train. M80 will probably pick Ancient, leveraging their 73% win rate on this map, while G2 might choose Inferno, where they have a 69% win rate. Mirage and Anubis are expected to be banned next, leaving Nuke as the decider.
| Map | M80 Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (M80) | G2 Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (G2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 0% | 0 | 21 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 43% | 14 | 4 | W, L, L, L, L |
| Train | 33% | 6 | 4 | L, W, L, W, L | 0% | 0 | 20 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Ancient | 79% | 14 | 4 | W, L, L, W, W | 50% | 18 | 7 | W, W, W, L, L |
| Dust II | 64% | 14 | 4 | W, W, W, W, L | 80% | 15 | 3 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Inferno | 55% | 11 | 5 | L, L, W, L, W | 69% | 13 | 5 | L, L, W, W, W |
| Mirage | 50% | 10 | 9 | L, L, W, L, L | 62% | 13 | 6 | W, FB, FB, W, W |
| Anubis | 12% | 14 | 1 | W, L, L, W, L | 38% | 8 | 14 | FB, L, L, W, L |
Head-to-Head
In their previous encounters, G2 has had the upper hand, winning two out of the last three meetings against M80. G2 secured 2-0 victories in both March 2025 and April 2024, while M80 managed a 2-1 win back in April 2024. G2’s dominance is reflected in their head-to-head win rate of 67% against M80. The map choices have often favored G2, with a tendency to pick maps where they have a strong win rate, such as Inferno and Dust2.
Prediction
Considering the current form, map pool, and head-to-head history, G2 is the favorite to win this matchup. With a 91% win probability, G2’s consistency and higher ranking position them as the likely victors. M80 will need to overcome their recent struggles and leverage any tactical advantages they can muster to challenge G2 effectively. However, given the statistics and recent performances, a 2-0 victory for G2 seems the most probable outcome.
Prediction: M80 2:1 G2
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
PGL Astana 2025 takes place from May 10 to May 18 in Kazakhstan, featuring a prize pool of $625,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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