On May 21, 2025, at 21:00 CEST, Team Liquid will face Aurora Gaming in a best-of-3 series at the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Group B. This match, part of the lower bracket playoffs, promises to be a crucial encounter for both teams. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome.

Current form of the teams

Team Liquid, currently ranked 12th in the world, has shown mixed results recently. Their overall win rate stands at 59% over the past year, but it has dipped to 51% in the last six months. In their recent matches, Liquid suffered a loss against MOUZ with a score of 0-2, despite previously securing a victory against FaZe with a 2-0 score. They also faced defeats from The MongolZ and managed wins against Natus Vincere and MIBR. Liquid’s recent earnings over the last six months amount to $105,250, placing them 21st in the earnings ranking.

On the other hand, Aurora Gaming holds the 7th position in the global rankings. They have maintained a consistent form with an overall win rate of 60% and an impressive 60% win rate in the last month. Aurora recently triumphed over NRG with a clean 2-0 victory, although they faced a narrow defeat against HEROIC. Their performance in the PGL Astana 2025 was commendable, securing a 3rd place finish and earning $75,000. Aurora’s earnings over the past six months total $122,250, ranking them 15th in terms of earnings.

Teams’ Map Pool

In this matchup, the predicted map veto scenario suggests that Liquid will first ban Train, while Aurora will remove Ancient. Liquid is expected to pick Anubis, a map where they have a 59% win rate over 17 matches in the last six months. Aurora, on the other hand, might opt for Mirage, where they have demonstrated strength with a 61% win rate across 44 matches. The decider is likely to be Dust2, a battleground where both teams have shown moderate performances.

Prediction

Based on the analysis of current form, map statistics, and recent performances, Aurora Gaming is favored to win this matchup with a predicted score of 2-0. Aurora’s consistent form and higher win rates on key maps such as Mirage give them an edge. Liquid’s recent struggles and lower win rates in the last six months further tilt the balance in favor of Aurora. While Liquid has the potential to upset, Aurora’s current trajectory suggests a strong likelihood of victory.

Prediction: Liquid 0:2 Aurora

Liquid (2.15) vs. Aurora (1.68) — May 21, 2025, 21:00 CEST.

Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication. 

Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 takes place from May 19 to May 25 in the United States, featuring a prize pool of $1,000,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.