BLAST Open Spring 2025 in the lower bracket semifinals will feature a clash between G2 and M80. Both teams are fighting for a chance to stay in the tournament and cannot afford any mistakes. G2 is considered the favorite, but the team's inconsistent form gives the ambitious M80 a chance, as they have already shown resilience in the lower bracket.
Current Team Form
G2
G2's average rating in S-Tier tournaments over the last month is 6.2. At ESL Pro League Season 21, the team struggled through the group stage with a 3-2 record and was then eliminated in the quarterfinals. At BLAST Open Spring 2025, they started stronger, reaching the semifinals, but suffered a defeat and now must fight their way to the finals through the lower bracket. In the last five matches, G2 secured only two victories—against Imperial and GamerLegion—while losing three times to tougher opponents—Eternal Fire, MOUZ, and NAVI.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 22 | G2 | 0 - 2 | Eternal Fire |
| March 20 | G2 | 2 - 0 | Imperial |
| March 13 | G2 | 1 - 2 | MOUZ |
| March 11 | G2 | 2 - 0 | GamerLegion |
| March 10 | G2 | 0 - 2 | Natus Vincere |
M80
The team's average rating is 5.9. At ESL Pro League Season 21, they didn't even make it to the main part of the tournament, finishing the Play-in stage with a 2-3 record. In the current BLAST Open Spring 2025, M80 started with a loss but managed to advance through the lower bracket, where they continue to fight for survival. Out of their last five matches, they won only one—against FURIA, while the other encounters ended in defeats against The Mongolz, 3DMAX, SAW, and the same FURIA.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 22 | M80 | 2 - 1 | FURIA |
| March 20 | M80 | 1 - 2 | The Mongolz |
| March 05 | M80 | 1 - 2 | FURIA |
| March 04 | M80 | 0 - 2 | 3DMAX |
| March 03 | M80 | 1 - 2 | SAW |
Team Map Pool
In banning the first map, G2 will likely stick to their priority and remove Train, while M80 will again ban Nuke, as they have done 32 times before. Next, G2, analyzing their opponent's weaknesses, will probably choose Mirage—one of their best maps with a 68% win rate and fairly modest stats for M80. In response, the Americans might pick Ancient—a stable map for them, where they win 64% of matches, whereas G2 has only a 33% win rate.
After the initial picks, the teams will ban again. G2 might remove Anubis to prevent M80 from playing on another comfortable map, while the Americans would prefer to eliminate Inferno, where the Europeans look significantly stronger. Thus, Dust II is likely to remain for the decider—a map comfortable for both G2 (71% win rate) and M80 (64%), creating equal conditions in case of a third decisive match.
| Map | G2 Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (G2) | M80 Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (M80) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 60% | 10 | 4 | L, W, W, W, L | 0% | 0 | 32 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Train | 0% | 0 | 11 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 33% | 3 | 4 | L, L, W |
| Ancient | 33% | 15 | 7 | W, L, W, L, L | 64% | 22 | 7 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Mirage | 68% | 19 | 6 | L, W, L, L, W | 50% | 10 | 19 | W, L, W, W, L |
| Anubis | 50% | 8 | 15 | FB, W, L, FB, L | 58% | 24 | 2 | W, W, W, L, L |
| Dust II | 71% | 17 | 3 | W, W, L, L, W | 64% | 14 | 9 | W, L, W, L, L |
| Inferno | 64% | 14 | 6 | W, W, W, W, L | 60% | 10 | 11 | L, W, L, L, W |
Match Prediction
Based on statistics and current form, G2 appears to be the favorite. Despite inconsistent results in recent matches, the team consistently performs at the playoff level of major tournaments and can adapt to their opponent. Their high rating, victories over teams like Imperial and GamerLegion, and diverse map pool work in their favor.
For M80, the situation is significantly worse: poor results, lack of consistent victories, and struggles against even mid-level teams make them the underdog in this matchup. The only advantage they might have is a successful map pick and potential success on Ancient or Dust II, but even that might not be enough.
Prediction: G2 wins 2:0
BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 takes place from March 19 to 30. The group stage will be held at the BLAST studio in Copenhagen, and the playoffs will take place at the MEO arena in Lisbon, Portugal. For more details on the results and progress of the tournament, follow this link.
Comments