On August 3rd, 2025, at 21:00 UTC, G2 Esports will face Evil Geniuses in a best-of-3 series as part of the VCT 2025: Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Follow the match here.

Current form of the teams

G2 Esports is currently riding a wave of momentum with a recent victory against 2GAME Esports in the opening matches of the VCT 2025: Americas Stage 2. Despite a loss to Sentinels earlier in the tournament, G2 maintains a respectable overall win rate of 61%. Over the last year, their performance has been even more impressive with a 67% win rate, which slightly increases to 69% in the last six months. However, their recent month form has dipped to a 25% win rate, signaling some inconsistency. G2 Esports also earned $190,000 over the last six months, placing them in the 5th position among their peers. Their performance in recent tournaments has been mixed, with a notable 4th place finish at the VALORANT Masters Toronto 2025, where they earned $75,000. In their last five matches, G2 has secured one win against 2GAME Esports but suffered losses to Sentinels, Bilibili Gaming, Karmine Corp, and fnatic.

Evil Geniuses, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistent form. They recently lost to Cloud9 in their latest outing. Their overall win rate stands at 52%, with a significant drop to 42% over the past year. Their recent half-year and monthly win rates are both at 50%, indicating a plateau in performance. Evil Geniuses’ recent tournament results include a 4th place finish at the Esports World Cup 2025: Americas Qualifier. In their last five encounters, they managed a win against 2GAME Esports but fell to MIBR, 100 Thieves, and G2 Esports themselves in a previous meeting during VCT 2025: Americas Stage 1.

Head-to-Head

In their past meetings, G2 Esports has shown a clear upper hand over Evil Geniuses. G2 has claimed victory in two out of their last three encounters, with the most recent match in May 2025 ending in a 2-1 win for G2. Historically, G2 Esports holds a 67% win rate against Evil Geniuses, who have only managed a 33% win rate in this matchup. This head-to-head advantage could play a crucial role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Considering the historical data, current form, and win rates, G2 Esports is favored to win the upcoming match against Evil Geniuses. With a win probability of 77% for G2, compared to 23% for Evil Geniuses, the prediction leans towards a 2:1 victory for G2 Esports. Their recent performances and head-to-head record suggest that they are likely to come out on top, despite some recent inconsistencies.

Prediction: G2 Esports 2:1 Evil Geniuses

VCT 2025: Americas Stage 2 takes place from July 18 to August 30 in the United States, featuring a prize pool of $250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.