On May 17, 2025, at 14:00 UTC, FURIA will face off against Spirit in the playoffs of the PGL Astana 2025, a prestigious LAN event held in Kazakhstan. This best-of-3 match promises to be a thrilling contest between two formidable teams. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details, visit the match page.
Current form of the teams
FURIA, currently ranked 20th in the world (source), has been on an impressive run with a four-match win streak. Over the last month, they boast a remarkable win rate of 80%, though their performance over the past half year has been less consistent at 49%. Their recent success includes victories against teams like MIBR and ODDIK in the ongoing PGL Astana 2025. FURIA’s earnings over the last six months amount to $54,875, placing them 34th in the earnings ranking. Their last five matches have seen them triumph four times, with their only recent loss coming against The MongolZ.
Spirit, on the other hand, is ranked 4th globally (source) and is also riding a four-match win streak. Their win rate over the past year has been an impressive 74%, with a recent half-year win rate of 77%. Spirit has shown consistent form, with recent victories over Ninjas in Pyjamas and Astralis. Spirit’s earnings in the last six months have been a staggering $1,073,125, ranking them 1st in earnings. Their recent tournament performance includes a 3-4th place finish at the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025, where they earned $40,000.
Teams Map Pool
The map veto for the upcoming match is expected to unfold with FURIA first banning Ancient, and Spirit banning Inferno. FURIA will likely pick Train, a map where they have a 63% win rate over the past six months, while Spirit is expected to pick Mirage, where they hold a 69% win rate. The decider, if needed, will be Dust2, a map both teams are comfortable on, with Spirit having a slight edge with an 88% win rate compared to FURIA’s 59%.
| Map | FURIA Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (FURIA) | Spirit Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Spirit) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 0% | 0 | 31 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 62% | 13 | 6 | L, L, W, L, W |
| Inferno | 46% | 13 | 9 | W, L, L, L, W | 0% | 0 | 42 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Train | 63% | 8 | 4 | W, L, L, W, - | 100% | 5 | 11 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Mirage | 35% | 17 | 4 | L, L, L, L, - | 69% | 16 | 7 | W, L, W, L, W |
| Dust II | 59% | 17 | 3 | W, W, L, L, W | 88% | 25 | 2 | W, L, W, W, W |
| Nuke | 44% | 9 | 8 | W, L, W, L, L | 65% | 20 | 7 | W, L, W, W, W |
| Anubis | 47% | 15 | 11 | L, W, W, L, W | 67% | 15 | 9 | W, L, L, W, W |
Prediction
Based on the current form and historical data, Spirit is favored to win this match with a predicted scoreline of 2-1. Spirit’s superior map pool and recent performances against top-tier teams give them an edge over FURIA. While FURIA has shown improvement, their inconsistency on key maps may prove to be their downfall against a well-rounded team like Spirit.
Prediction: FURIA 1:2 Spirit
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
PGL Astana 2025 takes place from May 10 to May 18 in Kazakhstan, featuring a prize pool of $1,250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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