Falcons vs G2 Match Prediction and Analysis - PGL Bucharest 2025 Grand Final
Falcons vs G2 Match Prediction and Analysis - PGL Bucharest 2025 Grand Final

Grand Final of PGL Bucharest 2025 — Falcons and G2 will battle for the championship title, having navigated a challenging playoff journey and arriving at the decisive match in excellent form. Falcons surprised many by exceeding expectations and showing consistent progress, while G2 were considered favorites from the start, confirming this status with five consecutive wins on their way to the final.

Current Team Form

Falcons

Falcons have been showing confident gameplay in recent weeks, despite a relatively modest average rating of 6.0 at S-tier events. At BLAST Open Spring 2025, the team couldn't make a significant impact, finishing in 9th–12th place. However, at PGL Bucharest 2025, the team noticeably transformed: they passed the group stage with a 3-2 score, then confidently overcame the quarterfinals and semifinals, securing their spot in the grand final. A series of five consecutive victories over FaZe, GamerLegion, The Mongolz, Rare Atom, and paiN demonstrates the team's good form and psychological resilience.

Date Team Score Opponent
Apr 12 Falcons 2 - 1 FaZe
Apr 11 Falcons 2 - 1 GamerLegion
Apr 10 Falcons 2 - 1 The MongolZ
Apr 09 Falcons 2 - 0 Rare Atom
Apr 08 Falcons 2 - 1 paiN

G2

G2 boasts a slightly higher average rating of 6.2 at S-tier tournaments. At BLAST Open Spring 2025, the team made it through the lower bracket to the quarterfinals, where their journey ended. But at PGL Bucharest 2025, G2 literally steamrolled through the group stage (3-0) and confidently passed the playoffs, making their way to the final. They also have five consecutive wins against strong opponents: GamerLegion, Rare Atom, Complexity (twice), and Virtus.pro. Particularly noteworthy is the team's stability and tactical flexibility.

Date Team Score Opponent
Apr 12 G2 2 - 0 Complexity
Apr 11 G2 2 - 0 Virtus.pro
Apr 08 G2 2 - 1 Complexity
Apr 07 G2 2 - 0 Rare Atom
Apr 06 G2 2 - 0 GamerLegion

Team Map Pool

Given their stable strategy, Falcons are highly likely to first ban the map Anubis — their permanent ban in recent tournaments. G2, on the other hand, will eliminate Train, which also aligns with their traditional approach to the map pool. These bans are almost certain and set the foundation for further map selection.

In the first phase of picks, Falcons will likely choose Ancient — one of their stable maps where they feel confident, and G2 has less impressive stats. G2, in contrast, will almost certainly opt for Dust II, where they have an 81% win rate, a map historically challenging for Falcons. This will give G2 a significant advantage at the start of the series.

In the second phase, Falcons might take a risk with Inferno, despite poor results on this map — they may attempt to exploit G2's weaknesses here. G2 will likely respond with Mirage, one of their strongest maps in terms of statistics and execution stability. Nuke could remain as the decider — a map both teams approach cautiously and rarely choose, but do not avoid.

Map Falcons Winrate M B Last 5 Matches (Falcons) G2 Winrate M B Last 5 Matches (G2)
Train 40% 10 3 L, L, W, W, L 0% 0 18 FB, FB, FB, FB, FB
Anubis 25% 4 20 FB, FB, FB, FB, FB 63% 8 15 L, FB, L, L, W
Inferno 38% 13 18 L, L, W, L, W 67% 15 5 W, L, W, L, W
Dust II 53% 17 5 L, W, L, L, W 81% 16 3 W, W, W, W, W
Mirage 54% 13 5 W, W, L, L, W 75% 16 6 L, W, FB, W, W
Nuke 42% 12 4 L, L, FB, L, W 55% 11 5 W, W, W, L, L
Ancient 50% 16 9 W, L, W, W, L 47% 17 7 L, W, W, W, W

Head-to-Head Meetings

In the past six months, the teams have faced each other only once — about two months ago. In that match, G2 emerged stronger, winning 2:1. Although Falcons managed to take one map, the final result favored G2, giving them an additional psychological advantage before the final.

Date Team Score Opponent
2 months ago G2 2 - 1 Falcons

Match Prediction

Both teams come into the grand final in excellent form, each with five consecutive wins. G2, judging by the statistics, have a more balanced and stable map pool, as well as a higher win rate on key maps (especially Dust II and Mirage). Falcons, on the other hand, demonstrate progress throughout the tournament and can adapt to their opponents, evident in their tactical map choices.

Prediction: G2 wins 3:1

PGL Bucharest 2025 takes place from April 6 to 13. The entire tournament is held in Bucharest, Romania, at the PGL Studio. Participants compete for a prize pool of $625,000. You can follow the results and progress of the tournament via this link.

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