Falcons and Eternal Fire will face off in the decisive match at ESL Pro League Season 21. Both teams currently have the same record of 2-2, making this match critically important: the winner will advance to the playoffs, while the loser will end their run in the tournament. We analyze the current form of the teams and determine who looks like the favorite in this matchup. In this material, we will examine the current form of the teams, map pool, and make a prediction for the match.
Current Form of the Teams
Falcons continue to perform inconsistently. The average team rating for the last month is 6.0, indicating constant fluctuations in their game. At IEM Katowice 2025, the team completely failed, finishing last after two consecutive losses. Meanwhile, at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, they managed to reach the finals, losing only to MOUZ with a score of 1-3. At the current ESL Pro League Season 21, Falcons appear extremely unpredictable, capable of defeating favorites and losing to underdogs.
Date
Team
Score
Opponent
Mar 10, 20:00
Falcons
2 - 1
FURIA
Mar 09, 11:30
Falcons
1 - 2
3DMAX
Mar 08, 17:15
Falcons
0 - 2
MOUZ
Mar 07, 20:30
Falcons
2 - 1
Liquid
Feb 23, 20:00
Falcons
1 - 3
MOUZ
Eternal Fire is also hard to call stable. In the current tournament, they confidently defeated FlyQuest and NRG with a score of 2-0, but faced difficulties in games against Liquid (0-2) and 3DMAX (1-2). The team looks convincing against weaker teams but obviously struggles in games with disciplined opponents.
Date
Team
Score
Opponent
Mar 10, 17:45
Eternal Fire
2 - 0
paiN
Mar 09, 19:10
Eternal Fire
0 - 2
Liquid
Mar 08, 11:30
Eternal Fire
2 - 0
MIBR
Mar 07, 14:30
Eternal Fire
0 - 2
3DMAX
Mar 04, 17:00
Eternal Fire
2 - 0
FlyQuest
Map Pool
Falcons traditionally ban Anubis, and this time is unlikely to be an exception, considering they have avoided this map 11 times already. Eternal Fire will definitely remove Ancient, a map with a zero win rate for them.
In their pick, Falcons will likely prefer Dust2 — this is one of the most comfortable maps for the team (50% wins out of 18 matches played). A possible alternative could be Mirage, where they also have decent results (44% win rate in 9 matches).
Eternal Fire will almost certainly take Nuke (73% win rate out of 15 matches) or Anubis (70% win rate out of 20 matches), considering their confident play on these maps. Given that Anubis will likely be banned by Falcons, the team will settle on Nuke.
Map
Falcons Winrate
M
B
Last 5 Matches (Falcons)
Eternal Fire Winrate
M
B
Last 5 Matches (Eternal Fire)
Ancient
50%
14
9
W, W, L, W, W
0%
1
31
FB, FB, FB, FB, FB
Nuke
33%
12
3
L, W, L, L, L
75%
16
11
W, L, W, W, W
Anubis
43%
7
11
FB, FB, FB, FB, FB
70%
20
1
L, W, W, W, L
Mirage
44%
9
8
L, W, L, W, W
64%
11
15
L, W, W, L, W
Inferno
33%
6
20
W, FB, L, W, L
52%
21
2
L, W, L, L, L
Dust II
50%
18
1
L, W, L, L, L
46%
13
5
L, W, L, W, L
Train
40%
5
2
W, L, W, L, L
40%
5
6
W, L, W, L, L
Past Meetings
This season, Falcons and Eternal Fire have already met three times. Eternal Fire won the first two matches, but the last meeting ended in favor of Falcons. Each match was quite tense and spectacular.
Date
Team
Score
Opponent
17 days ago
Falcons
2 - 1
Eternal Fire
1 month ago
Falcons
0 - 2
Eternal Fire
1 month ago
Falcons
0 - 2
Eternal Fire
Match Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams, Eternal Fire looks more favorable. Despite losses to strong opponents, the team confidently defeats opponents of their level or lower. Falcons demonstrate instability and tend to lose important matches, especially after failures in major tournaments.
Prediction: Eternal Fire 2-1 Victory
ESL Pro League Season 21 takes place from March 1 to 16 in Stockholm, Sweden. 24 teams are competing for a prize pool of $400,000. Follow the schedule, match results, and tournament progress via the link here.
Comments