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Predictions
14:31, 20.11.2024
The Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR B will oppose Eternal Fire against Aurora. Both teams enter this competition with different preparations and results in the last couple of competitions, making the upcoming match even more interesting. Eternal Fire will fight to try to consolidate its position after some recent instability, while Aurora wants to prove that it also can play at a high level.
With us at bo3.gg, let's analyze the current team form, their preferences in terms of map pool, and a brief head-to-head history to make a reasoned prediction on the outcome of this match.
The current form comes for the Teams
Eternal Fire does not played S-tier tournaments in the last month, so their current form might be a little off. Their last appearance was at the A-tier ESL Challenger Katowice 2024 where the team got 5th-6th place and had an average of 6.4 team rating. In their last five games they have won the Falcons and G2, lost twice to the B8 and once to The Mongolz. Eternal Fire may come up with surprises and win against strong opponents or fail in some crucial moment.
By all means, with those in mind, Aurora has an average ranking of 5.8 at S-tier events in the last month. Of course, something really bad happened at the Thunderpick World Championship 2024 Play-In, where they failed to win a single map and turned out further from the group position. In the B-tier HellCup 11, the team managed to pull off a fourth place. Aurora won just two of their last five with victories over 9 Pandas and 9INE and lost to NAVI Junior, M80, and BIG. The main weakness in Aurora is the severe drought of top-level tournaments like this one. So far, they've been fighting at the A- and B-tier events.
Team's Map Pool
Eternal Fire
Eternal Fire ban Ancient most probably, a map banned by them 30 times and rarely played. Coming onto their favorite maps, the list includes Anubis, picked 18 times with a 67% win rate, Inferno, picked 15 times with a 67% win rate, and Dust II, picked 15 times with a 60% win rate. Looking at the tendencies of Aurora, Eternal Fire will most likely choose Inferno, one of the strongest maps, where they have a win rate of 67%. Their highest win-rate maps include Vertigo 71%, Inferno 67%, and Anubis 67%.
Aurora
They will probably ban Vertigo, which they banned 38 times. Aurora usually prepares their picks with the opponent's weak sides in mind. Their favorable maps include Nuke, which was picked 29 times with a win rate of 66%, Mirage picked 29 times for a 59% win, and Ancient 19 times with a 47% win. Of course, with a high win rate of 66%, the most probable pick is Nuke.
Head-to-Head History
The only head-to-head match within the last six months occurred, ending 2:1 in favor of Eternal Fire, which would slightly give them a morale edge coming into this matchup.
Match Prediction
Based on both sides' current form and recent performances, Eternal Fire would seem to be the favorite in this matchup. Though some instability was present in their recent games, their experience with stronger opponents in the past, along with a decent map choice for them - Inferno - outweighs the opponents. On the contrary, Aurora has a lot of inconsistency and a lack of successful experience in high-injective tournaments.
The predicted victory is in favor of Eternal Fire.
Tomorrow the decisive stage of RMR starts, where all the participants of the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 will be determined. The six teams that will move further in the European RMR B tournament, you can find out by following the link.
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