On August 5th, 2025, at 12:30 UTC, ECSTATIC will face off against Liquid in the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier. This best-of-3 playoff match promises to be a thrilling encounter between two competitive teams. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. You can follow the match here.
Current form of the teams
ECSTATIC, currently ranked 26th in the world rankings, enters this qualifier with a strong performance streak. Over the past month, they have maintained a perfect win rate of 100%, which is a testament to their current form. Their recent half-year win rate stands at an impressive 70%, showcasing their consistency over a longer period.
ECSTATIC’s recent success includes winning the RES Showdown Fall 2025, where they secured first place by defeating teams like VP.Prodigy and fnatic. This victory not only highlighted their competitive edge but also qualified them for the BLAST Open Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier. In terms of earnings, ECSTATIC has accumulated $65,080 over the last six months, ranking them 35th compared to other teams. Their recent matches have shown resilience and strategic prowess, with a winstreak of 3 victories.
On the other hand, Liquid, ranked 17th globally, has had a challenging period with a recent month win rate of just 29%. Their performance in the last six months has been below their usual standards, with a win rate of 33%. Despite this, they have managed to earn $95,250, placing them 25th in earnings compared to their peers.
Teams Map Pool
Based on the predicted map veto, ECSTATIC will likely start by banning Mirage, while Liquid will remove Train. ECSTATIC is expected to pick Inferno, a map where they have a 63% win rate over the last six months. Liquid’s first pick is anticipated to be Anubis, where they have a 55% win rate. The decider map, if needed, is expected to be Nuke, which has been a battleground for both teams in the past.
| Map | Winrate Compare | ECSTATIC WR / M / B |
Last 5 Maps | Liquid WR / M / B |
Last 5 Maps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirage | 50% | 80% / 5 / 46 | FB FB FB FB FB | 30% / 10 / 12 | W W L L W |
| Train | 49% | 82% / 33 / 1 | W W L L W | 33% / 3 / 16 | FB FB FB |
| Nuke | 44% | 64% / 39 / 3 | W L L L L | 20% / 10 / 11 | L L W W L |
| Inferno | 27% | 63% / 35 / 0 | L L W W W | 36% / 11 / 7 | L L L W W |
| Ancient | 26% | 68% / 21 / 2 | W W W L W | 42% / 12 / 3 | L W L W W |
| Dust II | 2% | 38% / 21 / 22 | FB FB FB FB FB | 36% / 14 / 5 | L L W W L |
| Overpass | 0% | 0% / 0 / 0 | – | 0% / 0 / 4 | FB FB FB FB |
Prediction
Despite ECSTATIC’s impressive form and recent successes, Liquid’s overall experience and historical performance give them a slight edge in this matchup. Liquid’s predicted win probability stands at 59%, and their strategic map picks could play a crucial role in securing the victory. While ECSTATIC is expected to put up a strong fight, Liquid’s ability to adapt and capitalize on their opponent’s weaknesses might lead them to a 2-0 victory.
Prediction: ECSTATIC 0:2 Liquid
BLAST Bounty Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier takes place from August 5th to August 10th online, featuring a competitive prize pool. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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