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Aurora vs HEROIC Match Prediction and Analysis - Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Group B
The upcoming match between Aurora and HEROIC is set to take place on May 20, 2025, as part of the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Group B stage. This best-of-3 series promises intense competition as both teams vie for advancement in the tournament. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details, check out the match page.
Current form of the teams
Aurora, currently ranked 7th in the world (Valve Rankings), has shown a commendable performance recently. Over the past month, they have maintained a win rate of 63%, with an overall win rate of 60%. They are on a one-match winning streak, having recently secured a victory against FURIA in the PGL Astana 2025, where they finished in 3rd place and earned $75,000. Their recent matches reflect a mixed bag of results, including a win against The MongolZ and a loss to Astralis. Aurora’s earnings over the last six months amount to $122,250, placing them 15th among other teams.
HEROIC, ranked 15th globally, is in a formidable position with an impressive eight-match winning streak. Their recent performance is stellar, boasting a 90% win rate over the last month and a 66% win rate over the past six months. HEROIC recently clinched the top spot at the MESA Nomadic Masters: Spring 2025, earning $135,000. Their recent victories include a decisive win against BIG in the grand final. With total earnings of $289,000 in the last half-year, HEROIC holds the 7th position in financial rankings.
Teams’ Map Pool
The map veto process will likely see Aurora first banning Ancient, while HEROIC is expected to first ban Inferno. Aurora’s first pick is anticipated to be Train, a map where they have a 55% win rate over the last six months. HEROIC, on the other hand, is likely to pick Anubis, where they have a 63% win rate. The decider map, should it be necessary, is expected to be Dust2. Historically, Aurora has a 44% win rate on Dust2, while HEROIC boasts a 72% win rate on the same map.
| Map | Aurora | HEROIC | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Aurora) | Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (HEROIC) | |
| Inferno | 52% | 21 | 15 | L W L L W | 0% | 0 | 34 | FB FB FB FB FB |
| Dust II | 28% | 9 | 41 | W L L W W | 72% | 18 | 13 | W W W W W |
| Ancient | 16% | 33 | 21 | FB FB FB FB FB | 58% | 26 | 7 | W L W W W |
| Train | 12% | 33 | 4 | L L L L FB | 43% | 7 | 8 | L L W W W |
| Nuke | 11% | 31 | 9 | W W L W L | 44% | 16 | 8 | W W L L W |
| Mirage | 9% | 43 | 2 | W W W W W | 74% | 19 | 2 | W W W L L |
| Anubis | 5% | 24 | 32 | L W W W L | 63% | 16 | 5 | W L W W W |
Prediction
Considering the current form and historical data, HEROIC is favored to win this matchup with a predicted score of 2-1. HEROIC’s superior recent form and win rates, along with their map pool strength, give them a significant advantage. However, Aurora’s ability to pull off upsets, as seen in past encounters, means they cannot be underestimated. Ultimately, HEROIC’s consistency and recent performance suggest they are likely to come out on top.
Prediction: Aurora 1:2 HEROIC
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 takes place from May 19 to May 25 in the United States, featuring a prize pool of $1,000,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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