The upcoming showdown between Astralis and Natus Vincere is set to take place on August 9, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC. This best-of-3 series is part of the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier, a crucial stage in the tournament’s playoff format. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. You can follow the match here.

Current form of the teams

Astralis, currently ranked 9th in the world (source), enters this match with a slight edge in recent form. They have a win rate of 57% over the past half-year and have shown a slight improvement to 58% in the last month. Astralis has secured a win streak of one match, having recently defeated Rare Atom with a 2-0 scoreline in the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier.

Their recent performances at the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025 were mixed, with losses to top-tier teams like FURIA and Vitality, but they managed to secure a victory against paiN Gaming. Over the last six months, Astralis has earned $390,375, ranking them 6th in earnings among the competition.

Natus Vincere, ranked 5th globally, has been in formidable form recently, boasting a win rate of 60% over the past half-year, which has increased to 71% in the last month. Their recent performance includes a win against The Next Level in the current qualifier and an impressive run at the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025, finishing in the 3rd-4th position.

Notably, they secured victories over teams like FaZe and Ninjas in Pyjamas. Natus Vincere’s recent half-year earnings stand at $281,250, placing them 8th in terms of financial success. In tomorrow’s match, the team will be playing without their coach, which could have a partial impact on their performance, though not significantly.

Teams Map Pool

The map veto process for this match is expected to follow a strategic path. Astralis is likely to first ban Ancient, while Natus Vincere is expected to first ban Train. Astralis might opt for Dust2 as their first pick, a map where they have a 29% win rate over the last six months. Natus Vincere, on the other hand, is anticipated to pick Mirage, a map they have played frequently with a 63% win rate. As the veto progresses, Astralis is likely to ban Nuke, and Natus Vincere might ban Inferno, leaving Anubis as the decider.

Head-to-Head

In their recent encounters, Astralis and Natus Vincere have been evenly matched. Over the last five meetings, Astralis has won three times, while Natus Vincere has claimed victory twice. Their most recent clash on May 16, 2025, saw Astralis triumph with a 2-1 scoreline (match link). Historically, Natus Vincere has a 61% win rate against Astralis, showcasing their ability to challenge Astralis consistently. Map preferences have played a crucial role in these encounters, with Natus Vincere often favoring Mirage and Astralis leaning towards Nuke and Ancient.

Prediction

Based on current form, historical data, and map pool analysis, Natus Vincere appears poised to secure a 2-1 victory against Astralis. While Astralis has shown recent improvement and strong strategic map veto choices, NAVI’s consistent performance, adaptability, and ability to edge out close maps could be the deciding factors in this matchup.

Prediction: Natus Vincere 2:1 Astralis

BLAST Bounty Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier takes place from August 5 to August 10, 2025, featuring a prize pool of 0. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.