A Counter-Strike 2 fan has made an assumption about the release date of the next operation for Valve's shooter. The gamer presented the results of their research on their personal social media page on X (Twitter).
The player, using the nickname Alkem1st, used mathematical calculations to determine the exact release date of the upcoming event. The highly anticipated operation may be added to CS2 as early as February 2024.
I often get asked - "When will the next operation get released?"So here's the best theory I have come up with 👇📅 These are the dates for ALL operations:Operation Payback - Fri 26/04/13 - Sat 31/08/2013
Operation Bravo - Thu 19/09/13 - Wed 05/02/14
Operation Phoenix - Thu February 20th 2014 - Wed 11/06/14
Operation Breakout - Tue 01/07/14 - Thu 02/10/14
Operation Vanguard - Tue 11/11/14 - Tue 31/03/15
Operation Bloodhound - Tue 26/05/15 - Thu 01/10/15Operation Wildfire - Wed 17/02/16 - Fri 15/07/16
Operation Hydra - Tue 23/05/17 - Mon 13/11/17
Operation Shattered Web - Mon 18/11/19 - Mon 30/03/20
Operation Broken Fang - Thu 03/12/20 - Mon 29/03/21
Operation Riptide - Tue 21/09/21 - Mon 21/02/22
To analyze the exponential growth between the early and later dates of CS:GO operations, we should look at the increase in the gap lengths in a way that could fit an exponential growth model.First we calculate the rate of increase by using Gap_n=Gap_n/Gap_n-1. This will give us a growth factor of 1.52. This means that each gap is, on average, 52% longer than the previous one.Then we fit the data to an Exponential Growth Model. I won't bore you with the method of that, but we use this formula to predict future increase: Y=e^(aX+b), where e is the base of natural logarithms.
Y=e^(0.39X+2.27), where X is the index of the operation(11).
Based on the exponential growth model, the predicted gap before the next CS:GO operation, following Riptide, is approximately 729 days. Therefore, the speculated release date for the next CS:GO operation would be around Monday, February 19, 2024.
Also, I have no idea wtf I am talking about, this is just copium.
The user also emphasized that their calculations should be taken with a grain of humor, as it is unlikely that Valve representatives use exponential growth when planning the release schedule for events.
Previously, dataminer Maxim "Gabe Follower" Poltaev stated that he had found hints in CS2's code lines about adding support for comics in future operations. It is believed that this change may be aimed at expanding the storyline. References to cooperative missions were also identified in the game.
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