The ESL Pro League Season 20 match between FlyQuest and Lynn Vision on September 5th is a crucial elimination game for both teams, with both squads in poor form. FlyQuest has had a rough season so far, finishing last at major tournaments like the Esports World Cup 2024 and IEM Cologne 2024. On the other hand, Lynn Vision is also struggling after losing key players mid-season and failing to maintain a consistent match schedule. This clash will be a battle of survival as both teams look to salvage their campaign at ESL Pro League.
Team Background and Recent Form
FlyQuest: FlyQuest has been underperforming throughout 2024, and their results at key events like Esports World Cup and IEM Cologne were disappointing, with bottom-place finishes. The team’s performance has been hampered by the poor form of their AWPer, Alistair "aliStair" Johnston, who has struggled to have an impact. Despite having a star player in Joshua "INS" Potter, who has been their most consistent performer with a rating of 6.8, 0.81 KPR, and 91 ADR, it hasn’t been enough to compete at this level.
Lynn Vision: Lynn Vision, a team that had been on the rise, took a significant hit mid-season, losing some of their key players and showing inconsistent form. After the player break, they’ve only played ten maps, which is far from ideal preparation for a major tournament like ESL Pro League. However, their AWPer Zhang "z4kr" Sike has been in excellent form during this event, particularly against top-tier teams like NAVI and HEROIC. His event stats are a rating of 7.2, 0.88 KPR, and 91 ADR, far exceeding his usual output.
Head-to-Head Analysis
FlyQuest’s Struggles: The biggest issue for FlyQuest has been the inconsistency of their lineup, with aliStair’s poor performances dragging the team down. Even with strong individual plays from INS, FlyQuest has struggled to string together meaningful victories. Their map pool is relatively broad, with good results on Anubis (75%) and Vertigo (71.4%), but their weakness on key maps like Nuke (44.4%) could cost them.
Lynn Vision’s Resilience: Lynn Vision, while not in their best form, has shown resilience in the early stages of ESL Pro League. Their narrow losses to NAVI and HEROIC indicate that they can compete against strong opponents. With z4kr stepping up significantly, Lynn Vision has a real chance to win this elimination match. Their map pool, however, is more focused, with Vertigo being their strongest (100%) and weaker results on maps like Nuke (37.5%) and Ancient (30.8%).
Tactical Analysis
Map Pool Comparison:
- FlyQuest: They have a solid record on Anubis (75%) and Vertigo (71.4%) but are vulnerable on maps like Nuke and Ancient, where they have sub-50% win rates. Their versatility across maps is an advantage, but their overall consistency is lacking.
- Lynn Vision: Lynn Vision’s best map is Vertigo (100%), and they’ve had decent success on Dust2 and Inferno. However, their weaknesses on Ancient and Nuke could be exploited by FlyQuest if the veto falls their way.
Predicted Map Veto:
- FlyQuest pick Ancient: With a 52.6% win rate on Ancient, FlyQuest will likely go for a map where they can exploit Lynn Vision’s weaknesses (30.8% win rate).
- Lynn Vision pick Anubis: Lynn Vision has had success on Anubis in the past, and with FlyQuest having a solid win rate on this map, it will make for a competitive pick.
- Decider: Inferno: Both teams have middling results on Inferno, making it a likely decider where the match could be closely contested.
Match Prediction
Expected Match Flow: The match is likely to be scrappy, with both teams struggling to find consistency. FlyQuest should have the upper hand on Ancient, while Lynn Vision is favored on Anubis. Inferno will be a toss-up, but Lynn Vision’s ability to push top teams like NAVI and HEROIC to the limit suggests that they might have the mental edge in a tight series.
Prediction: Lynn Vision has shown more resilience at this event, and with z4kr in great form, they are the slight favorites to win. FlyQuest’s inconsistencies and reliance on INS to carry them could prove to be their downfall. Lynn Vision to win 2-1, with FlyQuest taking Ancient, and Lynn Vision securing Anubis and Inferno.
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