Tomorrow at the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: American RMR will feature a crucial match between Complexity and MIBR. Both teams have a score of 2:0 in the Swiss system and are competing for the entrance to the major. The winner of this match will get a ticket to the Major, while the loser will be forced to continue the fight in the next rounds. This confrontation promises to be exciting, as both teams demonstrate a strong game on RMR. Bo3.gg together with Oleg “Thunder” Hromyka offer an overview, analysis and prediction of this upcoming match.

Current form of the teams

Complexity shows mixed results, but in general they demonstrate a stable level. At recent tournaments, such as ESL Pro League and IEM RIO 2024, they lost to strong opponents such as MOUZ and Liquid, but also won against teams such as FaZe and Imperial. RMR Complexity started confidently, winning two matches: against BESTIA (1-0) and BOSS (1-0). Such results strengthen their position in the tournament and give them a psychological advantage before the meeting with MIBR.

MIBR are currently in a slightly more difficult situation. At the ESL Challenger Katowice 2024, they lost to Monte and Legacy, but at this one, RMR showed a great start by defeating KRÜ (1-0) and Imperial (1-0). These two victories allowed MIBR to regain confidence, and the team is approaching the confrontation with Complexity with a positive momentum.

Mappool

Map selection will be a key factor in this match, as both teams have both strengths and weaknesses on certain maps.

Complexity

Complexity usually bans Mirage as their main map. Their strongest maps include Vertigo (65% win rate on 17 games) and Anubis (58% win rate on 19 games). They have an advantage on these maps, which can give them a tactical advantage in a matchup with MIBR. Given their high win percentage, Vertigo is likely to be their go-to map, as it brings them consistent results.

MIBR

MIBR is usually avoided by Dust II because of the low level of play on this map. Their strongest maps include Ancient (62% win rate on 21 matches) and Anubis (57% win rate on 35 games). This gives them an advantage on Ancient, where they have significant experience and a high win rate. It is likely that MIBR will choose Ancient, hoping to capitalize on their advantage on this map.

Probable choice of maps

• Complexity will choose Vertigo, where their win rate is much higher.
• MIBR will choose Ancient, where they have a high level of play.
• The decider map is likely to be Anubis, as both teams have good performance on it, although Complexity has a slightly higher win rate.

Based on the latest results and mappool analysis, we can expect a tense match. Complexity has an advantage on Vertigo and Anubis, which may give them the opportunity to impose their game on the first map. MIBR, for their part, are also confident on Anubis and Ancient, and can count on strong positions on these maps.

Thunder's prediction:

The match with BOSS showed many problems in Complexity's game. Most of the team's progress is heavily dependent on EliGE and whether hallzerk hits. Without these components, the team simply cannot play. Today is a good example. It's unlikely that Complexity will risk taking Nuke or Anubis as their choice. Since these cards are no less strong in MIBR. But Complexity can take such a native Vertigo, which is played by few teams. In my opinion, the team certainly has a chance to win, but it is very unstable.

In the game against Imperial, I was impressed by the exit of MIBR. The question is not even in his statistics, but in the way he felt the moment: when to spike, throw a flush, etc. And in general, the way MIBR played makes me believe that they deserve to get to the Major. Of course, there is still a chance to see Nuke tomorrow. However, if it happens, it will most likely be on the decisive map. Accordingly, in my opinion, the Brazilians now look much more interesting than Complexity.

My prediction is 2:1 in favor of MIBR.

Oleg “Thunder” Hromyka 

PREDICTION: MIBR 2-1 Complexity

It is expected that the game will be played in three maps, as both teams have clear advantages on their chosen maps. However, given the overall balance, MIBR has a slightly higher probability of winning, especially if they can quickly adapt to the aggressive Complexity style on Vertigo.

Tomorrow, the 3rd round of matches will take place to determine which two of the four teams will advance to the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 and which others will compete for 5 slots. For this prediction, we've looked at the exciting match between Complexity and MIBR, and the other two teams that will also be competing for a place at the Major in their pairing, 9z and Wildcard. Follow the RMR action at this link.