On September 27, 2025, at 11:30 AM UTC, Aurora Gaming will face off against ONIC PH in the MPL Philippines Season 16 Regular Season. This match, a best-of-3 series, promises to be an engaging encounter as both teams strive to secure their positions in the tournament. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. You can follow the match here.

Current form of the teams

Aurora Gaming has been on an impressive run, currently enjoying a seven-match winning streak. Their recent performances in the MPL Philippines Season 16 have been nothing short of stellar. They have secured victories against formidable opponents such as Team Falcons PH, Omega Esports, and AP.Bren. With an overall win rate of 67% over the last year, they have shown remarkable improvement, boasting a 100% win rate in the past month. Aurora Gaming’s recent half-year earnings stand at $15,360, placing them 32nd in the earnings ranking. Their world ranking can be checked here.

ONIC PH, on the other hand, is also in good form, with a three-match winning streak. They have recently triumphed over teams like Team Liquid PH and TNC Pro Team. Their overall win rate is an impressive 86%, and they have maintained a consistent performance with an 84% win rate over the last six months. However, their recent month has seen a slight dip to a 71% win rate. ONIC PH’s recent half-year earnings are significantly higher at $360,660, ranking them 2nd compared to other teams. Their world ranking can also be viewed here.

Head-to-Head

The head-to-head history between Aurora Gaming and ONIC PH has been quite competitive. In their last five encounters, ONIC PH leads with three victories to Aurora Gaming’s two. Their most recent meeting on August 30, 2025 saw Aurora Gaming clinch a 2-1 victory. Historically, ONIC PH has a 75% win rate against Aurora Gaming, suggesting a slight edge in their matchups. However, Aurora Gaming’s recent form could tip the scales in their favor this time.

Prediction

Considering the current form and historical data, Aurora Gaming appears to have the upper hand in this matchup. Their recent unbeaten streak, coupled with a perfect win rate in the last month, gives them a strong advantage. The AI prediction also favors Aurora Gaming with a 69% probability of winning the match. While ONIC PH has been a formidable opponent in the past, Aurora Gaming’s momentum and strategic prowess could see them secure a 2-0 victory in this best-of-3 series.

Prediction: Aurora Gaming 2:0 ONIC PH

MPL Philippines Season 16 takes place from August 22 to October 31, 2025, in the Philippines, featuring a prize pool of $150,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the official tournament page.