On July 29, 2025, at 09:00 AM UTC, Ultra Prime will face off against LGD Gaming in the LPL Split 3 2025 Group Nirvana stage. This best-of-3 series promises to be a thrilling encounter as both teams battle for supremacy in the group stage. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details about this match, visit the match page.

Current form of the teams

Ultra Prime currently finds themselves in a challenging position, having struggled to secure victories in recent matches. Their overall win rate stands at 26%, with a slight improvement to 32% over the last six months. However, July has been particularly tough for them, as they have yet to secure a win this month, leading to a winless streak. In their last five outings, Ultra Prime has faced defeats against Ninjas in Pyjamas, ThunderTalk Gaming, EDward Gaming, LGD Gaming, and Oh My God. Despite these setbacks, Ultra Prime remains determined to turn their fortunes around in the ongoing LPL Split 3 2025.

On the other hand, LGD Gaming has shown slightly better form, boasting a 43% win rate overall. Their performance over the last month has been somewhat inconsistent, with a win rate of 33%. In their recent matches, LGD Gaming managed a victory against LNG Esports but suffered losses to EDward Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas, and Team WE. Their ability to bounce back from defeats will be crucial as they aim to secure a place in the playoffs.

Head-to-Head

In their recent head-to-head encounters, LGD Gaming has consistently held the upper hand against Ultra Prime. LGD Gaming has emerged victorious in both of their last two meetings, winning 2-1 on both occasions, most recently on May 11, 2025. This historical advantage gives LGD Gaming a psychological edge going into this matchup. Ultra Prime will need to overcome this hurdle if they hope to change the narrative in their favor.

Prediction

Based on the current form and historical data, Ultra Prime is predicted to win this matchup with a score of 2:0. Despite their recent struggles, Ultra Prime’s slight statistical edge, with a 53% win probability, suggests they might be able to capitalize on their opportunities and secure a much-needed victory. However, LGD Gaming’s past successes against Ultra Prime mean they cannot be underestimated, and they will be eager to maintain their dominance in this rivalry.

Prediction: Ultra Prime 2:0 LGD Gaming

Odds provided by Stake are current at the time of publication.      

LPL Split 3 2025 takes place from July 19 to September 29 in China, featuring a prize pool of $697,491. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the official tournament page.