- Smashuk
Predictions
00:49, 08.01.2025
The closed qualifier DreamLeague Season 25 for Dota 2 in Eastern Europe continues, and the match between Natus Vincere and 1win Team promises to be a tense elimination battle. On the one hand, NAVI - a team with a rich history, striving to regain its former glory and prove its competitiveness. On the other, 1win Team, a squad with a refreshed roster and ambitions to break into the main tournament. We have analyzed the current form of the teams, their drafts, and made a prediction for the upcoming match.
Current Form of the Teams
NAVI
The team of the first The International champion seems to have found a lineup capable of restoring glory to the tag. NAVI approaches the new season in the status of challengers. Despite the recent formation of the roster, the team has already shown ambitions to become top-tier this year, building form and teamwork through successful performances in the December qualifiers for ESL One Bangkok 2024.
It should be noted that after triumphing in the qualifiers, NAVI lost 4 out of the following 5 matches, raising questions about their current form.
1win Team
1win Team - a team with a somewhat refreshed roster. They confidently perform in tier-2 level tournaments like the CCT but face challenges at Tier-1 events and their qualifications. The arrival of an experienced player like Fishman is expected to positively impact the team's results. However, the question remains whether it will be enough to overcome the ambitious NAVI.
1win Team also lost 4 of their last 5 matches, which raises doubts about their current form and ability to compete for high positions.
Most Frequent Picks
In the professional Dota 2 scene, hero choices, as well as bans, play a key role in a team’s strategy. The choice of heroes reflects the game plan and how the main goal - destroying the opponent’s base - will be achieved.
NAVI
Hero | Picks | Winrate |
Dark Willow | 5 | 40.00% |
Gyrocopter | 4 | 50.00% |
Lion | 4 | 25.00% |
Magnus | 3 | 66.67% |
Earth Spirit | 3 | 0.00% |
1win Team
Hero | Picks | Winrate |
Magnus | 5 | 20.00% |
Pangolier | 5 | 40.00% |
Tiny | 4 | 50.00% |
Lion | 4 | 25.00% |
Dawnbreaker | 3 | 33.33% |
Most Frequent Bans
The banning phase on the professional scene is crucial for limiting the opponent's strengths. A well-thought-out ban strategy helps gain an advantage even before the match starts.
NAVI
Hero | Bans |
Alchemist | 7 |
Chen | 7 |
Morphling | 6 |
Dragon Knight | 5 |
Invoker | 5 |
1win Team
Hero | Bans |
Gyrocopter | 11 |
Dragon Knight | 10 |
Alchemist | 8 |
Monkey King | 8 |
Magnus | 7 |
Head-to-Head Matches
In the last six months, the teams have met only once — two months ago. The match ended with a confident victory for NAVI with a score of 3:0. This result confirms that NAVI, in their current form, is significantly stronger than 1win Team and capable of taking this series in their favor.
Match Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams, the statistics of picks and bans, and the result of the last head-to-head match, NAVI is the favorite in this confrontation. The team performs better in recent tournaments and already has experience winning against 1win Team.
However, 1win Team should not be underestimated. The arrival of Fishman may add stability and experience to the team, giving them a chance to compete. Nonetheless, considering the current indicators and NAVI's performance, the most likely outcome is a NAVI victory with a score of 2:1.
NAVI and 1win will meet in the lower bracket match, where the loser will leave the qualification for DreamLeague Season 25. The match will take place on January 8 at 11:00 CET. You can find the schedule and results of the qualification at this link.
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