On September 5 at 14:30 EEST, MIBR will face Team Spirit in a group stage match at the ESL Pro League Season 20 for Counter-Strike 2. We have analyzed the statistics of both teams and made a prediction for the outcome of the upcoming match.
Current Form
MIBR has been showing stable but not outstanding results in recent months. Their average rating in S-tier tournaments over the last month is 6, indicating some potential, but they are still far from reaching top positions in major championships. At IEM Cologne 2024, the team only placed 17th-20th, highlighting a lack of consistency in major tournaments. In their last five matches, MIBR won four times, though their opponents were not the strongest—teams like 9z Team, Hype, and BESTIA, which are not part of the global CS2 elite.
In contrast, Spirit has been displaying more confident gameplay, with an average rating of 6.1 in S-tier events over the past month. The team participated in both major tournaments in August— IEM Cologne 2024 and BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024 #2. Despite a poor performance in Cologne, where they placed 13th-16th, Spirit managed to bounce back in Belgrade and win the trophy. They also won their last five matches, with significantly stronger opponents, including teams like Team Falcons, FURIA Esports, MOUZ, and Eternal Fire.
Map Pool
MIBR traditionally bans Dust2, having done so 24 times. When selecting maps, the team prefers Nuke (64% win rate), Anubis (70% win rate), Vertigo (73% win rate), and Ancient (67% win rate). The most successful maps for MIBR are Vertigo, Inferno, and Anubis. It’s most likely that MIBR will ban Dust2, choose Vertigo or Anubis as their map, and leave Ancient for the decider.
Spirit prefers to ban Inferno, having done so 28 times. In terms of map selection, their preferences fall on Nuke (87% win rate), Mirage (50% win rate), and Ancient (69% win rate). Given their strengths, it’s likely that Spirit will choose Nuke as their map, ban Inferno, and leave Mirage or Ancient for the decider.
Head-to-Head
Just a month ago, MIBR and Spirit faced off at the Esports World Cup 2024, where Team Spirit secured a confident 2:0 victory, winning on the maps Nuke and Vertigo with crushing scores of 13:4 and 13:3, respectively. This result shows a noticeable gap in skill between the two teams.
Prediction from Bo3.gg
Considering the current form of both teams, the map pool, and the history of their head-to-head encounters, Spirit appears to be the clear favorite in this match. They have been delivering more consistent results, especially at major tournaments, and have already proven their superiority over MIBR in their recent encounter. Most likely, Spirit will secure another victory, possibly with a 2:0 score if MIBR fails to impose their game on maps like Vertigo or Anubis.
PREDICTION: 2:0 in favor of Spirit
The ESL Pro League Season 20 runs from September 3 to 22 in Malta. The teams are competing for a prize pool of $750,000. You can follow the schedule and results of the championship via the provided link.
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