On August 15, 2025, at 17:00 UTC, Team Spirit will face off against Virtus.pro in a best-of-3 series during the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 Stage 1. This playoff match is part of the prestigious BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 held in Malta. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details, visit the match page.

Current form of the teams

Team Spirit, currently ranked 2nd in the world (source), is in outstanding form with a seven-match win streak. Over the past year, Spirit has boasted a win rate of 78%, which has further increased to 81% over the last six months and an impressive 100% in the past month. Their recent triumph at the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025, where they claimed first place and earned $400,000, highlights their current strength.

Spirit’s last five matches have all been victories, including a notable 2-1 win against G2, ranked 12th, and a dominant 3-0 victory over MOUZ, ranked 3rd. This consistent performance makes them formidable opponents.

On the other hand, Virtus.pro, ranked 17th (source), has shown mixed results recently. Their overall win rate stands at 59% over the last year, but it has dipped to 46% over the past six months. Despite this, they have managed to secure two consecutive wins, including a 2-1 victory against FaZe, ranked 8th, in the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier.

However, their recent performances at the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025 were less impressive, finishing 9-12th with a $4,500 prize. Virtus.pro will need to step up their game to challenge Spirit.

Teams Map Pool

The predicted map veto scenario suggests Spirit will first ban Inferno, followed by Virtus.pro banning Nuke. Spirit is expected to pick Ancient, while Virtus.pro might opt for Anubis. Train and Dust2 are likely to be banned next, leaving Mirage as the decider. Historically, Spirit has shown strong performances on Ancient with a 64% win rate, while Virtus.pro has struggled on Anubis, winning only 33% of their matches.

Head-to-Head

In their previous encounters, Spirit has dominated Virtus.pro, winning four out of the last five matches. Their most recent meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for Spirit on March 24, 2025 (match link). Historically, Spirit has had an edge in map picks and bans, often outperforming Virtus.pro on key maps. Virtus.pro’s only recent victory over Spirit was in December 2023, which remains a distant memory given Spirit’s current form.

Prediction

Given Spirit’s current form, impressive win streak, and historical dominance over Virtus.pro, they are favored to win this match with a predicted score of 2:0. Spirit’s superior win rates across various maps and their recent tournament successes suggest they have the upper hand. Virtus.pro will need a significant improvement in their performance to pose a challenge, but the odds are stacked against them, with Spirit having an 85% win probability.

Prediction: Spirit 2:0 Virtus.pro

BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 takes place from August 14 to August 17 in Malta, featuring a prize pool of $500,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.