On May 17, 2025, at 18:00 CET, Team Heretics will face Team Liquid in the lower bracket final of VCT 2025: EMEA Stage 1. The match will determine not only who advances to the grand final but also who secures the final EWC 2025 slot. We have analyzed the statistics and current form of both teams to provide a prediction for the outcome. Detailed information about the match can be found on the match page.

Current form of the teams

Team Heretics has recently shown a return to their prime form, boasting a 75% win rate over the past month. Before their loss to Fnatic in the upper bracket final, they were on a six-match winning streak. Despite that setback, Team Heretics have demonstrated resilience with strong performances, securing victories over BBL Esports, Fnatic, NAVI, and Team Vitality during the group stage and playoffs. Their overall win rate stands at 57%, with a notable increase to 71% over the past year. This recent form highlights that they are a formidable opponent and fully prepared to reclaim their place at the top of the international stage.

Team Liquid, on the other hand, recently secured victories over BBL Esports and NAVI in the lower bracket. Over the past month, they’ve maintained consistent performance with a 75% win rate — mirroring the recent success of Team Heretics. Their earnings over the last six months are significantly higher, totaling $18,750, placing them 17th in the prize money rankings. Team Liquid’s overall win rate stands at 53%, with noticeable improvement across all metrics, including a 65% win rate over the past six months.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Team Liquid holds the upper hand in head-to-head matchups against Team Heretics, with a 67% win rate. Their most recent meeting took place on February 8, 2025, where Team Liquid claimed a dominant 3-0 victory. Prior to that, Team Heretics secured a 2-0 win in April 2024. However, the current form of both teams has evolved since their last encounter, making another one-sided 3-0 result in either direction unlikely.

Match Prediction

Considering current form and historical results, Team Heretics is expected to win with a projected score of 3-1 against Team Liquid. While Team Liquid has shown strong performances and holds a favorable head-to-head record, Team Heretics’ recent form and statistical edge suggest they are well-positioned to claim victory. The match is likely to be competitive, but Team Heretics’ strategic gameplay is expected to give them the upper hand.

Prediction Team Heretics 3:1 Team Liquid

VCT 2025: EMEA Stage 1 runs from March 26 to May 18 in Germany. During the event, 12 teams are competing for three slots at VCT 2025: Masters Toronto and two slots at the Esports World Cup 2025. More details on results and the schedule of upcoming matches can be found via this link.