Analyst Mischief shared what European teams need to qualify for the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025. The situation is extremely tense — several spots for the Major are still open, and the fate of the teams will be decided in the upcoming tournaments.

Here are the conditions facing the teams:

• SAW — they need to avoid a top-3 finish by their rivals in the upcoming tournaments. If they can secure a high placement themselves, it almost guarantees a slot, but there's still a risk of being left out due to potential H2H recalculations.
• Gentle Mates — chances are slim. The team needs a big result, but even winning the event doesn't provide a 100% guarantee due to dependency on other results.
• fnatic — they must win at Fragadelphia Blocktober 2025 and hope that SAW does not reach the top-3. Without this combination, their chances for the Major are practically nonexistent.
• ECSTATIC — they need a victory and a poor performance from SAW. Otherwise, their chances remain minimal.
• OG — a win is necessary, along with a failure from SAW. The ideal scenario is for the Portuguese to be eliminated by 9INE or 9z. However, even with a win, risks remain high.
• 9INE — their situation is the most precarious: even winning the tournament might not guarantee a slot due to complex point recalculations. They need to eliminate SAW as early as possible, but even this doesn't eliminate all threats.
• Virtus.pro — their fate depends on whether MIBR can continue winning. For VP, it's crucial that competitors like SAW, OG, and fnatic do not score points.
• B8 — it's simple: they just need to maintain their roster without losing more than one player. In that case, their chance at the Major looks very high.
• NIP — similar to B8, Ninjas in Pyjamas simply need to keep their main roster. If there are no major changes, their spot at the Major is practically secured.
• PARIVISION — the same as NIP and B8.

The picture is extremely tense — B8, PARIVISION, and NiP have the simplest path; they just need stability. Fnatic, OG, ECSTATIC, and SAW find themselves in a true "scenario hell" — everything will be decided by the upcoming matches and even H2H recalculations. Gentle Mates and 9INE are left with almost no chances, but the math still allows them to dream.