NAVI Drops from Top Contenders for PGL Major Singapore 2026

According to the latest forecast by MischiefCS2 regarding the race for qualification to the PGL Major Singapore 2026, NAVI is no longer listed among the teams currently predicted to participate in the tournament. The Ukrainian team has fallen out of the qualifying zone, and its place among the main contenders has been taken by the Belarusian team Nemiga Gaming.

The forecast was updated following the results of Stake Ep4, which significantly altered the power dynamics in the VRS race. However, MischiefCS2 emphasizes that this is merely a forecast and not an official list of Major participants.

NAVI Falls Below the Qualification Line

In the new table, NAVI has a 51.5% chance of qualifying for the Major. The team is no longer in the "Teams currently predicted to qualify" list and is among those not currently forecasted for qualification.

NAVI's expected range in the rankings before the Major is 8th–37th place. In commentary on the forecast, MischiefCS2 notes that the situation with the Ukrainian team remains very unstable: some simulated matches could significantly change their position.

At the same time, the gap from the qualifying zone is small. This is why NAVI still has over a 50% predicted probability of making it to the Major and remains a direct contender for a spot on the participant list.

Nemiga Rises into the Qualification Zone

Instead of NAVI, Nemiga Gaming has entered the list of teams currently predicted to qualify. Their chances are estimated at 54.7%, slightly higher than NAVI's.

MischiefCS2 specifically highlights Nemiga's progress following Stake Ep4. The team achieved an important result in the VRS race and now has a predicted range of 10th–26th place.

At the top of the list, FaZe Clan remains at 73.3%, IC Esports at 67.0%, BIG at 65.2%, PARIVISION at 59.8%, and M80 at 55.7%.

Alliance and Luminosity Improve Their Positions

Alliance and Luminosity Gaming were among the main winners of the latest update.

Alliance now has a 74.9% chance of making it to the Major and is among the teams predicted to qualify. In a note, MischiefCS2 mentions that the team has returned to the race and now has a good chance of securing a spot among the contenders.

Luminosity has also significantly improved its position. The team has a 44.4% chance of making it to the Major and remains outside the predicted qualification line. However, their results have already allowed them to significantly close the gap from the qualifying zone.

FaZe Loses Ground, Astralis Under Scrutiny

FaZe Clan remains among the teams predicted to qualify, but their figure has dropped to 73.3%. MischiefCS2 notes that FaZe has lost some of its advantage following recent results.

The analyst also draws attention to Astralis, whose chances are at 79.0%. The Danish team is still on the list of predicted Major participants, but after two losses to direct competitors, additional questions have arisen about their position.

Another factor for Astralis will be the upcoming Stake Pulse3, which was about ten days away at the time of the forecast.

Who Else Has a Chance

Outside the current list of predicted participants, several teams remain. Among them:

• NAVI — 51.5%
• Luminosity Gaming — 44.4%
• ENVY — 35.0%
• 100 Thieves — 33.6%
• 1win — 33.5%
• HOTU — 27.4%
• GamerLegion — 22.1%
• Ninjas in Pyjamas — 15.4%
• Virtus.pro — 11.8%
• Nemesis — 11.4%
• JiJieHao — 8.9%
• BBL Esports — 1.7%
• fnatic — 1.7%

Thus, NAVI currently remains one of the main teams just outside the predicted qualification line. Their 51.5% is almost on par with Nemiga, which took the last spot in the current list of predicted participants.

According to MischiefCS2, the most movement in the VRS is expected next week after Thunderpick, Stake Pulse 3, and RIC9. These tournaments could significantly change the situation for NAVI and other teams currently in the race for the Major.

It's important to note that MischiefCS2 uses their own predictive model, so the percentages provided are not official odds from Valve or Major organizers and may change after each new result.