On June 21, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, Nigma Galaxy will face off against Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Season 5 Group Stage. This best-of-3 series promises to be a thrilling encounter between two formidable teams. Nigma Galaxy and Natus Vincere will battle it out in this prestigious tournament hosted in Romania. The PGL Wallachia Season 5 offers a prize pool of $1,000,000. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Match details.

Current form of the teams

Nigma Galaxy

Nigma Galaxy enters this matchup with a strong recent form, riding a four-game winstreak. Their recent performance in The International 2025: Western Europe Closed Qualifier was impressive, securing a 2nd place finish and qualification for The International 2025. In their last five matches, Nigma Galaxy has shown resilience, defeating teams such as OG and Virtus.pro, while only falling to NAVI Junior. Over the past six months, they have earned $162,000, placing them 12th in the earnings ranking. Their win rates have been consistent, with a 57% win rate over the last half-year and a slightly lower 47% in the recent month.

Natus Vincere

Natus Vincere, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results. Their recent performance in the Esports World Cup 2025: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier saw them finish 2nd. However, they have struggled to maintain consistency, with recent losses to Cyber Goose highlighting their vulnerabilities. Despite this, they have a respectable 64% win rate over the past half-year and a 56% win rate in the recent month. Their recent earnings amount to $50,000, positioning them 20th in the earnings ranking.

Most Frequent Picks

In professional Dota, drafting often determines the outcome of a match. Hero choices are heavily influenced by the current meta, which dictates the game's rhythm and guides how teams approach teamfights, map control, and overall strategy.

Nigma Galaxy

Natus Vincere

Most Frequent Bans

Bans are just as impactful. Teams usually target the most dependable and threatening heroes in their opponents' pool. Recently, there’s been a noticeable trend of removing high-priority meta picks early, as shutting them down before the game starts can have a massive impact on how the match plays out.

Nigma Galaxy

Natus Vincere

Head-to-Head

Historically, Nigma Galaxy has had the upper hand against Natus Vincere, winning their last two encounters. Their most recent meeting on March 9, 2025, resulted in a 2-1 victory for Nigma Galaxy. Prior to that, Nigma Galaxy secured a 2-0 win on August 3, 2024. This gives Nigma Galaxy a 100% win rate against Natus Vincere in their recent head-to-head matchups.

Match Predicition

Looking at recent form and head-to-head history, Nigma Galaxy come into this matchup with serious momentum. Their current winstreak, combined with past success against NAVI, gives them a solid edge. While NAVI have shown flashes of potential, Nigma’s experience and team coordination make them the more reliable pick here. Expect a close series, but the edge goes to Nigma Galaxy — 2:1 feels like the most likely outcome.

Prediction: Nigma Galaxy 2:1 Natus Vincere

Odds are provided by Stake and are current at the time of publication.    

PGL Wallachia Season 5 takes place from June 21 to June 29, 2025, in Romania, featuring a prize pool of $1,000,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.